Storm risk in Harrisonburg (independent city), Virginia

FEMA's overall hazard score for Harrisonburg is 26.59 (Very Low), 2,309th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 36.99 (Relatively Low), strong wind 61.13 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 23.16 (Very Low). Expected hail loss is $8.10 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 2 hail reports in Harrisonburg from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.

Harrisonburg (independent city): expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings for hail, strong wind and tornado, on a log scale, against all U.S. counties and the counties of VA$0.1$1$10$100$1,000Hail: $8.10 per $1 million, 2,215th of 3,126 rated counties$8.10Hail2,215th of 3,126 countiesStrong wind: $17 per $1 million, 1,718th of 3,121 rated counties$17Strong wind1,718th of 3,121 countiesTornado: $32 per $1 million, 2,562nd of 3,144 rated counties$32Tornado2,562nd of 3,144 counties
  • Harrisonburg, coloured by its FEMA rating
  • all U.S. counties
  • each county in the state
  • U.S. median
  • state median

Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.

How FEMA rates Harrisonburg

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in VA
OverallVery Low 26.592,309 of 3,14467 of 133
HailRelatively Low 36.991,982 of 3,12637 of 133
Strong windRelatively Moderate 61.131,223 of 3,12633 of 133
TornadoVery Low 23.162,417 of 3,12664 of 133

Expected yearly loss, in dollars

HazardThis county, total a yearPer $1M of buildingsState median countyU.S. median countyRank per $1M, U.S.Rank per $1M, state
Hail$79,741$8.10 $5.39$22 2,215 of 3,12644 of 133
Strong wind$171,002$17 $15$20 1,718 of 3,12149 of 133
Tornado$318,558$32 $54$199 2,562 of 3,14499 of 133

Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.

What stands out in Harrisonburg

  • FEMA expects hail in Harrisonburg to cost $8.10 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.36 times the U.S. median and 1.50 times the VA county median, ranked 2,215th of 3,126 counties nationally and 44th of 133 in Virginia.
  • FEMA expects strong wind in Harrisonburg to cost $17 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.85 times the U.S. median and 1.18 times the VA county median, ranked 1,718th of 3,121 counties nationally and 49th of 133 in Virginia.
  • FEMA expects tornado in Harrisonburg to cost $32 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.16 times the U.S. median and 0.60 times the VA county median, ranked 2,562nd of 3,144 counties nationally and 99th of 133 in Virginia.
  • NOAA has only 2 hail reports for Harrisonburg in 12 years, too few for a trend; FEMA's 89 counted hail events cover a longer record.
  • Applying FEMA's estimate to a $278,200 home, the average yearly loss in Harrisonburg is about $2.25 for hail and $4.83 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $6.22 and $5.67.
  • If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Harrisonburg meets about 1.7 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
  • Built in 1987, the median home in Harrisonburg is 39 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 71.4% of its 18,654 homes are at least 26 years old.
  • March to June holds 2 of the 2 hail reports in Harrisonburg (100 percent); the quietest month is January, with 0 reports.

What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year

Enter a home value. The calculator applies Harrisonburg’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.

$2.25hail, a year; $6.22 at the U.S. median county rate
$4.83strong wind, a year; $5.67 at the U.S. median county rate
$142hail and wind together over 20 years, at today’s rate

Formula: home value × Harrisonburg yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $79,741 ÷ $9,840,709,085 = 0.0000081. Wind: $171,002 ÷ $9,840,709,085 = 0.0000174. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.

Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.

Harrisonburg in plain numbers

  • Harrisonburg scores 26.59 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Very Low): 2,309th of 3,144 rated counties and 67th of 133 in Virginia.
  • Hail scores 36.99 (Relatively Low). FEMA expects $79,741 of hail damage to buildings in Harrisonburg a year, which is $8.10 per $1 million of buildings, 0.36 times the U.S. median.
  • Strong wind scores 61.13 (Relatively Moderate) with $171,002 of expected yearly building loss in Harrisonburg: $17 per $1 million of buildings, 0.85 times the U.S. median.
  • Tornado scores 23.16 (Very Low) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $318,558, counting everything exposed, or $32 per $1 million of buildings in Harrisonburg.
  • FEMA's own event record for Harrisonburg averages 2.33 hail events and 3.51 strong-wind events a year.
  • NOAA logged 2 hail reports in Harrisonburg between 2014 and June 2026, on 1 day with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 1.75 inches.
  • In Harrisonburg, FEMA counts buildings worth 9.84 billion dollars and 51,814 residents.
  • Social vulnerability is Relatively Low in Harrisonburg.
  • Community resilience there is Very Low, for 51,814 residents.
  • 1 city in Harrisonburg is covered on this site: Harrisonburg. 1 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Harrisonburg is $6,860 to $15,190.
  • Harrisonburg ranks 143 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 70 for wind and 183 for tornado.
  • In Harrisonburg, May is the busiest month with 2 of the 2 reports (100 percent), against 0 reports in November.
  • Harrisonburg's worst year was 2025, with 1 hail day at 1 inch or more and 2 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 0.08 such days a year, one about every 144.0 months.
  • The median home in Harrisonburg was built in 1987; 38.2% of its 18,654 housing units date from before 1980, 71.4% from before 2000 and 10.0% from 2010 on.
  • Census puts the median home value in Harrisonburg at $278,200, and 39.9% of homes are lived in by their owners.
  • 734 single-family building permits were issued in Harrisonburg from 2014 to 2025, about 39.3 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2025.
  • The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Harrisonburg is 63 mph on July 21, 2020 at Harrisonburg.
  • The nearest county with a page here is Lynchburg (independent city), 74 miles from the centre of Harrisonburg; its hail score is 28.34.
  • Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 7 roofing contractor establishments in Harrisonburg in 2023, one for every 2,665 homes.

The hail record of Harrisonburg, year by year

NOAA logged 2 reports in Harrisonburg; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 1 day. With so few reports the yearly bars below are small numbers, and a single storm moves them.

Harrisonburg (independent city): NOAA hail reports per year, 2014 to June 2026, with the number of days that had hail of 1 inch or more0122014: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch142015: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch152016: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch162017: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch172018: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch182019: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch192020: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch202021: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch212022: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch222023: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch232024: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch242025: 2 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch252026: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch26*
  • reports
  • days with hail of 1 inch or more
  • * 2026 runs to June only
Harrisonburg (independent city): NOAA hail reports by calendar month, 2014 to June 2026January: 0 reports0JanFebruary: 0 reports0FebMarch: 0 reports0MarApril: 0 reports0AprMay: 2 reports2MayJune: 0 reports0JunJuly: 0 reports0JulAugust: 0 reports0AugSeptember: 0 reports0SepOctober: 0 reports0OctNovember: 0 reports0NovDecember: 0 reports0Dec

Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: May, 2 reports.

The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
YearReportsDays, 1 inch or moreDays, 1.75 inch or moreLargest stoneDamage reported
20252111.75 in–

Biggest hail days in Harrisonburg

DateLargest stoneReports that dayDamage reportedNear
May 15, 20251.75 in2none recordedHarrisonburg

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Harrisonburg the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Harrisonburg

1 in hail1.75 in hail Harrisonburg
  • 11 to 1.74 in
  • 11.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 02.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 1.75 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

2 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Wind and tornado records for Harrisonburg

Fastest gusts in Harrisonburg

DateGustNear
July 21, 202063 mphHarrisonburg
June 25, 202560 mphHarrisonburg
June 25, 202560 mphHarrisonburg
June 25, 202560 mphHarrisonburg

How old the roofs are

Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Harrisonburg’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 0.08 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.

Harrisonburg (independent city): share of homes by decade built, with the hail days at 1 inch or more that an original roof from each decade has met at the county's 2014 to 2025 ratepre-1940: 7.1% of homes7.1%<194081940s: 2.9% of homes2.9%1940s71950s: 6.9% of homes6.9%1950s61960s: 7.6% of homes7.6%1960s51970s: 13.9% of homes13.9%1970s41980s: 16.7% of homes16.7%1980s31990s: 16.5% of homes16.5%1990s32000s: 18.5% of homes18.5%2000s22010s: 9.3% of homes9.3%2010s12020+: 0.7% of homes0.7%2020+0

Bars: share of 18,654 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.

Median year built1987
Built before 198038.2%
Built before 200071.4%
Built since 201010.0%
Owner-occupied39.9%
Median home value$278,200
Single-family permits, 2014 to 2025734
Permits per 1,000 homes39.3

Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.

Roofers and past disasters in Harrisonburg

Roofing firms in Harrisonburg

Roofing contractor establishments, 20237
Change since 2016+3 (+75%)
Homes per roofing firm2,665
Median across counties5,189
Employees, 2023134

Source for Harrisonburg: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.

Nearby counties

The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Harrisonburg's.

CountyMilesOverallHail lossHail, times hereWind lossWind, times hereNOAA hail reports
Lynchburg (independent city), VA74 Relatively Low $2.890.36$291.6714
Richmond (independent city), VA98 Relatively Low $7.430.92$0.390.023
Roanoke (independent city), VA100 Relatively Low $4.660.57$160.932
Newport News (independent city), VA160 Relatively Low $8.291.02$6.530.3813
Norfolk (independent city), VA178 Relatively Moderate $101.29$9.460.5411
Chesapeake (independent city), VA186 Relatively Low $111.35$0.360.0221

All 194 counties, with a filter by state and sorting

Cities and ZIP areas in Harrisonburg

1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 1 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Harrisonburg 22801 (31%), 22802 (7%) Roofers

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Harrisonburg?

FEMA's National Risk Index gives Harrisonburg an overall score of 26.59 (Very Low), 2,309th of 3,144. Hail scores 36.99 (Relatively Low), strong wind 61.13 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 23.16 (Very Low).

In Harrisonburg, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?

A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 2 for Harrisonburg between 2014 and June 2026, on 1 day with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 1.75 inches.

What do hail and wind cost a home in Harrisonburg each year, on average?

Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $278,200: FEMA's estimate is about $2.25 a year for hail and $4.83 for wind, before any deductible, against $6.22 and $5.67 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.

How does Harrisonburg compare with the rest of Virginia?

Per $1 million of buildings Harrisonburg loses $8.10 to hail a year, against $5.39 in the median county of the state. Among 133 rated counties it is 37th for hail, 33rd for strong wind and 64th for tornado.

How old are the roofs in Harrisonburg?

The median home was built in 1987, 39 years ago, and 71.4% of the 18,654 housing units in Harrisonburg date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

Sources for Harrisonburg: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Harrisonburg; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Harrisonburg; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Harrisonburg. Planning-level information about Harrisonburg, not an inspection and not insurance advice.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).