Storm risk in Weld County, Colorado
FEMA's overall hazard score for Weld County is 89.15 (Relatively Moderate), 342nd of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 98.98 (Relatively High), strong wind 95.01 (Relatively High) and tornado 95.07 (Relatively High). Expected hail loss is $133 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 480 hail reports in Weld County from 2014 to June 2026.
FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.
- Weld County, coloured by its FEMA rating
- all U.S. counties
- each county in the state
- U.S. median
- state median
Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.
How FEMA rates Weld County
| Hazard | Rating | Score (0 to 100) | Rank in U.S. | Rank in CO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Relatively Moderate | 89.15 | 342 of 3,144 | 8 of 64 |
| Hail | Relatively High | 98.98 | 33 of 3,126 | 6 of 64 |
| Strong wind | Relatively High | 95.01 | 158 of 3,126 | 3 of 64 |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 95.07 | 156 of 3,126 | 5 of 64 |
Expected yearly loss, in dollars
| Hazard | This county, total a year | Per $1M of buildings | State median county | U.S. median county | Rank per $1M, U.S. | Rank per $1M, state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | $7,681,452 | $133 | $86 | $22 | 367 of 3,126 | 19 of 64 |
| Strong wind | $851,201 | $15 | $8.18 | $20 | 1,875 of 3,121 | 20 of 64 |
| Tornado | $16,075,181 | $278 | $60 | $199 | 1,138 of 3,144 | 7 of 64 |
Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.
What stands out in Weld County
- FEMA expects hail in Weld County to cost $133 per $1 million of buildings a year: 5.95 times the U.S. median and 1.54 times the CO county median, ranked 367th of 3,126 counties nationally and 19th of 64 in Colorado.
- FEMA expects strong wind in Weld County to cost $15 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.72 times the U.S. median and 1.80 times the CO county median, ranked 1,875th of 3,121 counties nationally and 20th of 64 in Colorado.
- FEMA expects tornado in Weld County to cost $278 per $1 million of buildings a year: 1.40 times the U.S. median and 4.67 times the CO county median, ranked 1,138th of 3,144 counties nationally and 7th of 64 in Colorado.
- Applying FEMA's estimate to a $444,500 home, the average yearly loss in Weld County is about $59 for hail and $6.55 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $9.93 and $9.06.
- If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Weld County meets about 190.0 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
- Built in 2000, the median home in Weld County is 26 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and is inside the rated life of an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 50.6% of its 125,033 homes are at least 26 years old.
- March to June holds 233 of the 480 hail reports in Weld County (49 percent); the quietest month is January, with 0 reports.
What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year
Enter a home value. The calculator applies Weld County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.
Formula: home value × Weld County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $7,681,452 ÷ $57,729,880,139 = 0.0001331. Wind: $851,201 ÷ $57,729,880,139 = 0.0000147. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.
Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.
Weld County in plain numbers
- Weld County scores 89.15 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Moderate): 342nd of 3,144 rated counties and 8th of 64 in Colorado.
- Hail scores 98.98 (Relatively High). FEMA expects $7,681,452 of hail damage to buildings in Weld County a year, which is $133 per $1 million of buildings, 5.95 times the U.S. median.
- Strong wind scores 95.01 (Relatively High) with $851,201 of expected yearly building loss in Weld County: $15 per $1 million of buildings, 0.72 times the U.S. median.
- Tornado scores 95.07 (Relatively High) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $16,075,181, counting everything exposed, or $278 per $1 million of buildings in Weld County.
- FEMA's own event record for Weld County averages 6.70 hail events and 1.40 strong-wind events a year.
- NOAA logged 480 hail reports in Weld County between 2014 and June 2026, on 118 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 4.25 inches.
- In Weld County, FEMA counts buildings worth 57.73 billion dollars and 328,800 residents.
- Social vulnerability is Very Low in Weld County.
- Community resilience there is Relatively Moderate, for 328,800 residents.
- 1 city in Weld County is covered on this site: Greeley. 35 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
- Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Greeley is $7,560 to $16,740.
- Weld County ranks 24 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 81 for wind and 73 for tornado.
- In Weld County, June is the busiest month with 136 of the 480 reports (28 percent), against 0 reports in December.
- Weld County's worst year was 2019, with 19 hail days at 1 inch or more and 77 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 9.50 such days a year, one about every 1.3 months.
- The median home in Weld County was built in 2000; 30.8% of its 125,033 housing units date from before 1980, 50.6% from before 2000 and 24.0% from 2010 on.
- Census puts the median home value in Weld County at $444,500, and 75.5% of homes are lived in by their owners.
- 34,089 single-family building permits were issued in Weld County from 2014 to 2025, about 272.6 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2021.
- NOAA lists 43 tornado tracks in Weld County since 2014; the strongest was an EF2 on May 7, 2016 near Masters, 8.8 miles long.
- The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Weld County is 90 mph on June 20, 2024 at La Salle.
- The nearest county with a page here is Adams County, 44 miles from the centre of Weld County; its hail score is 99.71.
- Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 65 roofing contractor establishments in Weld County in 2023, one for every 1,924 homes.
- FEMA has named Weld County in 0 disaster declarations since 2014, and 0 of them were storm-type.
The hail record of Weld County, year by year
NOAA logged 480 reports in Weld County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 118 days. That is 9.5 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.
- reports
- days with hail of 1 inch or more
- * 2026 runs to June only
Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: June, 136 reports.
The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
| Year | Reports | Days, 1 inch or more | Days, 1.75 inch or more | Largest stone | Damage reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1.75 in | – |
| 2015 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 in | – |
| 2016 | 53 | 10 | 5 | 2.5 in | $15,000 |
| 2017 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 4.25 in | – |
| 2018 | 63 | 17 | 6 | 2.75 in | – |
| 2019 | 77 | 19 | 7 | 3 in | – |
| 2020 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 2 in | – |
| 2021 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3.25 in | – |
| 2022 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2.5 in | – |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 3.25 in | – |
| 2024 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 2 in | – |
| 2025 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 2.75 in | – |
| 2026 (to June) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2.25 in | – |
Biggest hail days in Weld County
| Date | Largest stone | Reports that day | Damage reported | Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2017 | 4.25 in | 15 | none recorded | Pierce |
| May 20, 2021 | 3.25 in | 7 | none recorded | Stoneham |
| July 13, 2023 | 3.25 in | 5 | none recorded | Stoneham |
| May 26, 2019 | 3 in | 6 | none recorded | Buckingham |
| September 12, 2019 | 3 in | 1 | none recorded | Stoneham |
Where large hail was reported
FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Weld County the big stones fell.
Reported hail locations, Weld County
- 261 to 1.74 in
- 1011.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
- 132.75 in and up, baseball
Largest plotted stone: 4.25 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.
414 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates; the map shows the 140 largest. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.
Sources: NOAA, Census county outlineWind and tornado records for Weld County
Fastest gusts in Weld County
| Date | Gust | Near |
|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2024 | 90 mph | La Salle |
| June 6, 2020 | 82 mph | Rockport |
| August 19, 2016 | 81 mph | Greeley Arpt |
| August 10, 2017 | 81 mph | Roggen |
Strongest tornado tracks in Weld County
| Date | Scale | Length | Injured / killed | Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 7, 2021 | EF2 | 7.5 mi | 0 / 0 | Firestone |
| May 7, 2016 | EF2 | 8.8 mi | 0 / 0 | Masters |
| May 27, 2025 | EF1 | 0.87 mi | 0 / 0 | New Raymer Arpt |
| June 12, 2017 | EF1 | 7.24 mi | 0 / 0 | Hereford |
43 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 4 are listed.
How old the roofs are
Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Weld County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 9.50 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.
Bars: share of 125,033 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.
| Median year built | 2000 |
| Built before 1980 | 30.8% |
| Built before 2000 | 50.6% |
| Built since 2010 | 24.0% |
| Owner-occupied | 75.5% |
| Median home value | $444,500 |
| Single-family permits, 2014 to 2025 | 34,089 |
| Permits per 1,000 homes | 272.6 |
Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.
Roofers and past disasters in Weld County
Roofing firms in Weld County
| Roofing contractor establishments, 2023 | 65 |
| Change since 2016 | +25 (+62%) |
| Homes per roofing firm | 1,924 |
| Median across counties | 5,189 |
| Employees, 2023 | 458 |
Source for Weld County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160. Full roofing-market page for Weld County.
FEMA disaster declarations naming Weld County since 2014
| Declarations naming Weld County | 0 |
| Storm / flood / winter / fire | 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Median CO county | 1 |
Source for Weld County: OpenFEMA, data to 2026-09-15.
Nearby counties
The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Weld County's.
| County | Miles | Overall | Hail loss | Hail, times here | Wind loss | Wind, times here | NOAA hail reports |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams County, CO | 44 | Relatively Moderate | $471 | 3.54 | $9.12 | 0.62 | 170 |
| Denver County, CO | 59 | Relatively High | $518 | 3.89 | $8.90 | 0.60 | 168 |
| Boulder County, CO | 63 | Relatively Moderate | $132 | 0.99 | $11 | 0.77 | 146 |
| Larimer County, CO | 66 | Relatively Moderate | $133 | 1.00 | $4.37 | 0.30 | 201 |
| Jefferson County, CO | 83 | Relatively High | $502 | 3.77 | $8.66 | 0.59 | 209 |
| El Paso County, CO | 117 | Relatively Moderate | $136 | 1.02 | $8.99 | 0.61 | 869 |
More Colorado counties, nearest first
- Pueblo County 164 mi
Cities and ZIP areas in Weld County
1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 35 such areas have more than half their land here.
| City | ZIP areas (share of land in the county) | Pages |
|---|---|---|
| Greeley | 80634 (100%), 80643 (89%) | Roofers |
- Weld County hail history, 2014 to 2026
- Hail history in Colorado
- Insurance claim deadlines in Colorado
Storm hit your roof in Weld County? A free inspection tells you if there is damage. One local roofer answers, not five.
Start an inspection requestQuestions
How high is storm risk in Weld County?
FEMA's National Risk Index gives Weld County an overall score of 89.15 (Relatively Moderate), 342nd of 3,144. Hail scores 98.98 (Relatively High), strong wind 95.01 (Relatively High) and tornado 95.07 (Relatively High).
In Weld County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?
A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 480 for Weld County between 2014 and June 2026, on 118 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 4.25 inches.
What do hail and wind cost a home in Weld County each year, on average?
Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $444,500: FEMA's estimate is about $59 a year for hail and $6.55 for wind, before any deductible, against $9.93 and $9.06 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.
How does Weld County compare with the rest of Colorado?
Per $1 million of buildings Weld County loses $133 to hail a year, against $86 in the median county of the state. Among 64 rated counties it is 6th for hail, 3rd for strong wind and 5th for tornado.
How old are the roofs in Weld County?
The median home was built in 2000, 26 years ago, and 50.6% of the 125,033 housing units in Weld County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original 3-tab roof is past its rated life and an architectural one is inside it. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.
What does expected annual loss mean?
It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.
Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?
No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.
Sources for Weld County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Weld County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Weld County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Weld County; OpenFEMA, declarations naming Weld County. Planning-level information about Weld County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).