Storm risk in Jefferson County, Colorado

FEMA rates Jefferson County Relatively High for natural-hazard risk overall, 160th of 3,144 rated counties. For a roof the three that matter are hail (Very High), strong wind (Relatively High) and tornado (Relatively High). NOAA logged 209 hail reports here from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. Planning-level county ratings.

Jefferson County: FEMA National Risk Index scores for overall risk, hail, strong wind and tornado, each on a scale of 0 to 100Overall riskOverall risk: score 94.9, Relatively High, 160th of 3,144 rated counties95Relatively High, 160th of 3,144HailHail: score 99.8, Very High, 7th of 3,126 rated counties100Very High, 7th of 3,126Strong windStrong wind: score 92.6, Relatively High, 233rd of 3,121 rated counties93Relatively High, 233rd of 3,121TornadoTornado: score 96.5, Relatively High, 111th of 3,144 rated counties96Relatively High, 111th of 3,144

Each dot is the county’s score from 0 to 100 against all rated U.S. counties; the bar colour is FEMA’s rating band.

Hazard by hazard

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in COExpected yearly loss
OverallRelatively High 94.91602 of 64$194,997,730buildings
HailVery High 99.873 of 64$56,274,388buildings
Strong windRelatively High 92.62335 of 64$972,107buildings
TornadoRelatively High 96.51114 of 64$21,964,401all exposure

Rank 1 is the highest score. Expected annual loss is a county total in dollars per year, not a figure per home; the overall, hail and wind rows count buildings only, the tornado row all exposure.

Jefferson County in plain numbers

  • FEMA's overall rating for Jefferson County is Relatively High, score 94.9 of 100, 160th of 3,144 rated counties.
  • Hail: Very High (score 99.8), 7th nationwide and 3rd of 64 counties in Colorado.
  • Expected yearly hail loss to buildings: $56,274,388 for the whole county, about $501.59 per $1 million of building value.
  • NRI's hail record averages 6.9 hail events a year in the county.
  • Strong wind: Relatively High (score 92.6), 233rd nationwide; expected yearly loss to buildings $972,107, about $8.66 per $1 million of building value.
  • Tornado: Relatively High (score 96.5), 111th nationwide; total expected yearly loss $21,964,401.
  • Buildings in the county are valued at 112.2 billion dollars in the index; population 582,825.
  • Social vulnerability is rated Very Low and community resilience Relatively High.
  • NOAA logged 209 hail reports in Jefferson County from 2014 to June 2026; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 45 days and the largest stone was 2.75 inches.
  • 1 of our cities is in the county: Arvada.
  • 26 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas have more than half of their land area in Jefferson County.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Arvada is $7,560 to $16,740.

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s storm reports show where inside it the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Jefferson County

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  • 1111 to 1.74 in
  • 281.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 12.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 2.75 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

171 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates; the map shows the 140 largest. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Cities and ZIP areas in Jefferson County

1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 26 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Arvada 80002 (96%), 80003 (86%), 80004 (100%), 80017 (0%), 80025 (0%) Roofers

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Jefferson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Jefferson County Relatively High overall. By peril: hail Very High, strong wind Relatively High, tornado Relatively High. The highest-scoring of the three for this county is hail (score 99.8).

How many hail reports has NOAA logged in Jefferson County?

209 reports between 2014 and June 2026 in NOAA's Storm Events Database. A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is a county total, not a figure per home, and it is built for comparing counties, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties at planning level. It cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

How does Jefferson County compare with the rest of Colorado?

For hail it ranks 3rd of 64 rated counties in the state; for strong wind 5th of 64; for tornado 4th of 64.

Other Colorado counties

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020). This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Planning-level information, not an inspection and not insurance advice.