Storm risk in Washington County, Arkansas

FEMA's overall hazard score for Washington County, AR is 92.27 (Relatively Moderate), 244th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 94.12 (Relatively High), strong wind 72.71 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 95.36 (Relatively High). Expected hail loss is $59 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 156 hail reports in Washington County, AR from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.

Washington County: expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings for hail, strong wind and tornado, on a log scale, against all U.S. counties and the counties of AR$0.1$1$10$100$1,000Hail: $59 per $1 million, 839th of 3,126 rated counties$59Hail839th of 3,126 countiesStrong wind: $2.47 per $1 million, 2,868th of 3,121 rated counties$2.47Strong wind2,868th of 3,121 countiesTornado: $297 per $1 million, 1,056th of 3,144 rated counties$297Tornado1,056th of 3,144 counties
  • Washington County, AR, coloured by its FEMA rating
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  • each county in the state
  • U.S. median
  • state median

Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.

How FEMA rates Washington County, AR

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in AR
OverallRelatively Moderate 92.27244 of 3,1442 of 75
HailRelatively High 94.12186 of 3,1264 of 75
Strong windRelatively Moderate 72.71859 of 3,12621 of 75
TornadoRelatively High 95.36147 of 3,1266 of 75

Expected yearly loss, in dollars

HazardThis county, total a yearPer $1M of buildingsState median countyU.S. median countyRank per $1M, U.S.Rank per $1M, state
Hail$2,714,607$59 $22$22 839 of 3,12618 of 75
Strong wind$113,142$2.47 $49$20 2,868 of 3,12175 of 75
Tornado$13,614,626$297 $451$199 1,056 of 3,14467 of 75

Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.

What stands out in Washington County, AR

  • FEMA expects hail in Washington County, AR to cost $59 per $1 million of buildings a year: 2.65 times the U.S. median and 2.64 times the AR county median, ranked 839th of 3,126 counties nationally and 18th of 75 in Arkansas.
  • FEMA expects strong wind in Washington County, AR to cost $2.47 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.12 times the U.S. median and 0.05 times the AR county median, ranked 2,868th of 3,121 counties nationally and 75th of 75 in Arkansas.
  • FEMA expects tornado in Washington County, AR to cost $297 per $1 million of buildings a year: 1.49 times the U.S. median and 0.66 times the AR county median, ranked 1,056th of 3,144 counties nationally and 67th of 75 in Arkansas.
  • Applying FEMA's estimate to a $266,000 home, the average yearly loss in Washington County, AR is about $16 for hail and $0.66 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $5.94 and $5.42.
  • If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Washington County, AR meets about 56.7 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
  • Built in 1994, the median home in Washington County, AR is 32 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 61.2% of its 103,174 homes are at least 26 years old.
  • March to June holds 123 of the 156 hail reports in Washington County, AR (79 percent); the quietest month is November, with 0 reports.

What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year

Enter a home value. The calculator applies Washington County, AR’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.

$16hail, a year; $5.94 at the U.S. median county rate
$0.66strong wind, a year; $5.42 at the U.S. median county rate
$328hail and wind together over 20 years, at today’s rate

Formula: home value × Washington County, AR yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $2,714,607 ÷ $45,898,417,878 = 0.0000591. Wind: $113,142 ÷ $45,898,417,878 = 0.0000025. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.

Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.

Washington County, AR in plain numbers

  • Washington County, AR scores 92.27 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Moderate): 244th of 3,144 rated counties and 2nd of 75 in Arkansas.
  • Hail scores 94.12 (Relatively High). FEMA expects $2,714,607 of hail damage to buildings in Washington County, AR a year, which is $59 per $1 million of buildings, 2.65 times the U.S. median.
  • Strong wind scores 72.71 (Relatively Moderate) with $113,142 of expected yearly building loss in Washington County, AR: $2.47 per $1 million of buildings, 0.12 times the U.S. median.
  • Tornado scores 95.36 (Relatively High) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $13,614,626, counting everything exposed, or $297 per $1 million of buildings in Washington County, AR.
  • FEMA's own event record for Washington County, AR averages 7.33 hail events and 5.89 strong-wind events a year.
  • NOAA logged 156 hail reports in Washington County, AR between 2014 and June 2026, on 36 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 5 inches.
  • In Washington County, AR, FEMA counts buildings worth 45.90 billion dollars and 245,782 residents.
  • Social vulnerability is Relatively Low in Washington County, AR.
  • Community resilience there is Relatively Low, for 245,782 residents.
  • 2 cities in Washington County, AR are covered on this site: Fayetteville, Springdale. 14 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Fayetteville is $6,020 to $13,330.
  • Washington County, AR ranks 54 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 179 for wind and 64 for tornado.
  • In Washington County, AR, March is the busiest month with 38 of the 156 reports (24 percent), against 4 reports in September.
  • Washington County, AR's worst year was 2017, with 5 hail days at 1 inch or more and 20 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 2.83 such days a year, one about every 4.2 months.
  • The median home in Washington County, AR was built in 1994; 27.7% of its 103,174 housing units date from before 1980, 61.2% from before 2000 and 17.2% from 2010 on.
  • Census puts the median home value in Washington County, AR at $266,000, and 55.6% of homes are lived in by their owners.
  • 18,189 single-family building permits were issued in Washington County, AR from 2014 to 2025, about 176.3 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2022.
  • NOAA lists 22 tornado tracks in Washington County, AR since 2014; the strongest was an EF3 on March 30, 2022 near Johnson, 5.2 miles long.
  • The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Washington County, AR is 86 mph on April 19, 2025 at Tontitown.
  • The nearest county with a page here is Benton County, 21 miles from the centre of Washington County, AR; its hail score is 82.35.
  • Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 22 roofing contractor establishments in Washington County, AR in 2023, one for every 4,690 homes.
  • FEMA has named Washington County, AR in 6 disaster declarations since 2014, the latest 234 days before its data end, and 4 of them were storm-type.

The hail record of Washington County, AR, year by year

NOAA logged 156 reports in Washington County, AR; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 36 days. That is 2.8 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.

Washington County: NOAA hail reports per year, 2014 to June 2026, with the number of days that had hail of 1 inch or more05101520252014: 5 reports, 3 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch142015: 22 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.75 inch152016: 6 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch162017: 20 reports, 5 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch172018: 8 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.75 inch182019: 6 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch192020: 8 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 5 inch202021: 4 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch212022: 13 reports, 5 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.5 inch222023: 18 reports, 3 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2 inch232024: 18 reports, 5 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.5 inch242025: 14 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch252026: 14 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.75 inch26*
  • reports
  • days with hail of 1 inch or more
  • * 2026 runs to June only
Washington County: NOAA hail reports by calendar month, 2014 to June 2026January: 2 reports2JanFebruary: 4 reports4FebMarch: 38 reports38MarApril: 35 reports35AprMay: 37 reports37MayJune: 13 reports13JunJuly: 9 reports9JulAugust: 11 reports11AugSeptember: 4 reports4SepOctober: 2 reports2OctNovember: 0 reports0NovDecember: 1 reports1Dec

Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: March, 38 reports.

The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
YearReportsDays, 1 inch or moreDays, 1.75 inch or moreLargest stoneDamage reported
20145301.25 in–
201522422.75 in$80,000
20166201.25 in$5,000
201720511.75 in$45,000
20188112.75 in$75,000
20196211.75 in$30,000
20208115 in$820,000
20214101 in–
202213512.5 in$320,000
202318312 in$120,000
202418501.5 in$20,000
202514211.75 in$170,000
2026 (to June)14212.75 in$430,000

Biggest hail days in Washington County, AR

DateLargest stoneReports that dayDamage reportedNear
May 4, 20205 in7$820,000Johnson
April 28, 20262.75 in11$415,000Elm Spgs
March 25, 20152.75 in8$35,000Elm Spgs
July 20, 20182.75 in8$75,000Elkins
April 16, 20222.5 in3$300,000Springdale

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Washington County, AR the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Washington County, AR

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  • 781 to 1.74 in
  • 181.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 72.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 5 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

103 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Wind and tornado records for Washington County, AR

Fastest gusts in Washington County, AR

DateGustNear
April 19, 202586 mphTontitown
October 20, 201981 mphPrairie Grove
May 5, 202281 mphFayetteville
August 5, 201575 mphBaldwin

Strongest tornado tracks in Washington County, AR

DateScaleLengthInjured / killedNear
March 30, 2022EF35.2 mi7 / 0Johnson
May 19, 2025EF213.6 mi0 / 0(Fyv)Fayetteville Ar
May 7, 2024EF25.8 mi0 / 0Evansville
March 23, 2016EF25.8 mi2 / 0Odell

22 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 4 are listed.

How old the roofs are

Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Washington County, AR’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 2.83 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.

Washington County: share of homes by decade built, with the hail days at 1 inch or more that an original roof from each decade has met at the county's 2014 to 2025 ratepre-1940: 2.8% of homes2.8%<19402581940s: 1.6% of homes1.6%1940s2301950s: 3.5% of homes3.5%1950s2011960s: 7.5% of homes7.5%1960s1731970s: 12.3% of homes12.3%1970s1441980s: 13.6% of homes13.6%1980s1161990s: 19.9% of homes19.9%1990s882000s: 21.6% of homes21.6%2000s602010s: 15.4% of homes15.4%2010s312020+: 1.8% of homes1.8%2020+8

Bars: share of 103,174 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.

Median year built1994
Built before 198027.7%
Built before 200061.2%
Built since 201017.2%
Owner-occupied55.6%
Median home value$266,000
Single-family permits, 2014 to 202518,189
Permits per 1,000 homes176.3

Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.

Roofers and past disasters in Washington County, AR

Roofing firms in Washington County, AR

Roofing contractor establishments, 202322
Change since 2016+12 (+120%)
Homes per roofing firm4,690
Median across counties5,189
Employees, 2023270

Source for Washington County, AR: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Washington County, AR since 2014

Declarations naming Washington County, AR6
Storm / flood / winter / fire4 / 1 / 1 / 0
Median AR county6
Rank among 33 AR counties23
Days from the latest to the data cutoff234

Source for Washington County, AR: OpenFEMA, data to 2026-09-15. Declaration list for Washington County, AR.

Nearby counties

The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Washington County, AR's.

CountyMilesOverallHail lossHail, times hereWind lossWind, times hereNOAA hail reports
Benton County, AR21 Relatively Moderate $220.38$124.77197
Sebastian County, AR55 Relatively Moderate $130.22$3.601.4691
Faulkner County, AR121 Relatively Moderate $190.32$145.8371
Pulaski County, AR134 Relatively High $330.55$7.312.96114
Craighead County, AR199 Relatively Moderate $180.30$124.7466

All 194 counties, with a filter by state and sorting

Cities and ZIP areas in Washington County, AR

2 cities in this county are on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 14 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Fayetteville 72701 (100%), 72703 (95%), 72704 (99%), 72762 (79%), 72764 (91%) Roofers
Springdale 72764 (91%), 72701 (100%), 72742 (0%) Roofers

Storm hit your roof in Washington County, AR? A free inspection tells you if there is damage. One local roofer answers, not five.

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Washington County, AR?

FEMA's National Risk Index gives Washington County, AR an overall score of 92.27 (Relatively Moderate), 244th of 3,144. Hail scores 94.12 (Relatively High), strong wind 72.71 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 95.36 (Relatively High).

In Washington County, AR, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?

A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 156 for Washington County, AR between 2014 and June 2026, on 36 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 5 inches.

What do hail and wind cost a home in Washington County, AR each year, on average?

Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $266,000: FEMA's estimate is about $16 a year for hail and $0.66 for wind, before any deductible, against $5.94 and $5.42 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.

How does Washington County, AR compare with the rest of Arkansas?

Per $1 million of buildings Washington County, AR loses $59 to hail a year, against $22 in the median county of the state. Among 75 rated counties it is 4th for hail, 21st for strong wind and 6th for tornado.

How old are the roofs in Washington County, AR?

The median home was built in 1994, 32 years ago, and 61.2% of the 103,174 housing units in Washington County, AR date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

Sources for Washington County, AR: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Washington County, AR; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Washington County, AR; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Washington County, AR; OpenFEMA, declarations naming Washington County, AR. Planning-level information about Washington County, AR, not an inspection and not insurance advice.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).