Storm risk in Craighead County, Arkansas
FEMA's overall hazard score for Craighead County is 91.79 (Relatively Moderate), 259th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 67.40 (Relatively Low), strong wind 74.97 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 97.74 (Relatively High). Expected hail loss is $18 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 66 hail reports in Craighead County from 2014 to June 2026.
FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.
- Craighead County, coloured by its FEMA rating
- all U.S. counties
- each county in the state
- U.S. median
- state median
Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.
How FEMA rates Craighead County
| Hazard | Rating | Score (0 to 100) | Rank in U.S. | Rank in AR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Relatively Moderate | 91.79 | 259 of 3,144 | 3 of 75 |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 67.40 | 1,026 of 3,126 | 22 of 75 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Moderate | 74.97 | 788 of 3,126 | 20 of 75 |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 97.74 | 72 of 3,126 | 2 of 75 |
Expected yearly loss, in dollars
| Hazard | This county, total a year | Per $1M of buildings | State median county | U.S. median county | Rank per $1M, U.S. | Rank per $1M, state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | $394,370 | $18 | $22 | $22 | 1,731 of 3,126 | 54 of 75 |
| Strong wind | $258,731 | $12 | $49 | $20 | 2,092 of 3,121 | 68 of 75 |
| Tornado | $17,608,336 | $795 | $451 | $199 | 72 of 3,144 | 12 of 75 |
Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.
What stands out in Craighead County
- FEMA expects hail in Craighead County to cost $18 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.80 times the U.S. median and 0.79 times the AR county median, ranked 1,731st of 3,126 counties nationally and 54th of 75 in Arkansas.
- FEMA expects strong wind in Craighead County to cost $12 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.57 times the U.S. median and 0.24 times the AR county median, ranked 2,092nd of 3,121 counties nationally and 68th of 75 in Arkansas.
- FEMA expects tornado in Craighead County to cost $795 per $1 million of buildings a year: 3.99 times the U.S. median and 1.76 times the AR county median, ranked 72nd of 3,144 counties nationally and 12th of 75 in Arkansas.
- Applying FEMA's estimate to a $198,700 home, the average yearly loss in Craighead County is about $3.54 for hail and $2.32 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $4.44 and $4.05.
- If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Craighead County meets about 51.7 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
- Built in 1991, the median home in Craighead County is 35 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 65.4% of its 47,983 homes are at least 26 years old.
- March to June holds 59 of the 66 hail reports in Craighead County (89 percent); the quietest month is February, with 0 reports.
What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year
Enter a home value. The calculator applies Craighead County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.
Formula: home value × Craighead County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $394,370 ÷ $22,153,496,684 = 0.0000178. Wind: $258,731 ÷ $22,153,496,684 = 0.0000117. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.
Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.
Craighead County in plain numbers
- Craighead County scores 91.79 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Moderate): 259th of 3,144 rated counties and 3rd of 75 in Arkansas.
- Hail scores 67.40 (Relatively Low). FEMA expects $394,370 of hail damage to buildings in Craighead County a year, which is $18 per $1 million of buildings, 0.80 times the U.S. median.
- Strong wind scores 74.97 (Relatively Moderate) with $258,731 of expected yearly building loss in Craighead County: $12 per $1 million of buildings, 0.57 times the U.S. median.
- Tornado scores 97.74 (Relatively High) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $17,608,336, counting everything exposed, or $795 per $1 million of buildings in Craighead County.
- FEMA's own event record for Craighead County averages 3.36 hail events and 1.93 strong-wind events a year.
- NOAA logged 66 hail reports in Craighead County between 2014 and June 2026, on 32 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 4 inches.
- In Craighead County, FEMA counts buildings worth 22.15 billion dollars and 111,202 residents.
- Social vulnerability is Relatively High in Craighead County.
- Community resilience there is Relatively Moderate, for 111,202 residents.
- 1 city in Craighead County is covered on this site: Jonesboro. 13 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
- Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Jonesboro is $5,670 to $12,555.
- Craighead County ranks 113 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 97 for wind and 5 for tornado.
- In Craighead County, April is the busiest month with 21 of the 66 reports (32 percent), against 0 reports in October.
- Craighead County's worst year was 2017, with 5 hail days at 1 inch or more and 9 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 2.58 such days a year, one about every 4.6 months.
- The median home in Craighead County was built in 1991; 34.6% of its 47,983 housing units date from before 1980, 65.4% from before 2000 and 19.7% from 2010 on.
- Census puts the median home value in Craighead County at $198,700, and 59.2% of homes are lived in by their owners.
- 6,663 single-family building permits were issued in Craighead County from 2014 to 2025, about 138.9 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2021.
- NOAA lists 19 tornado tracks in Craighead County since 2014; the strongest was an EF3 on April 2, 2025 near Davis, 21.98 miles long.
- The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Craighead County is 110 mph on April 2, 2025 at Richer.
- The nearest county with a page here is Faulkner County, 108 miles from the centre of Craighead County; its hail score is 57.89.
- Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 6 roofing contractor establishments in Craighead County in 2023, one for every 7,997 homes.
- FEMA has named Craighead County in 7 disaster declarations since 2014, the latest 234 days before its data end, and 5 of them were storm-type.
The hail record of Craighead County, year by year
NOAA logged 66 reports in Craighead County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 32 days. That is 2.6 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.
- reports
- days with hail of 1 inch or more
- * 2026 runs to June only
Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: April, 21 reports.
The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
| Year | Reports | Days, 1 inch or more | Days, 1.75 inch or more | Largest stone | Damage reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 in | – |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.75 in | – |
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 in | – |
| 2017 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1.75 in | – |
| 2018 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.75 in | – |
| 2019 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1.25 in | – |
| 2020 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1.75 in | – |
| 2021 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 in | – |
| 2022 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 in | $10,000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 in | – |
| 2024 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1.75 in | – |
| 2025 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 in | – |
| 2026 (to June) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 in | – |
Biggest hail days in Craighead County
| Date | Largest stone | Reports that day | Damage reported | Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15, 2022 | 4 in | 10 | $10,000 | Lake City |
| December 23, 2015 | 2.75 in | 2 | none recorded | Ridge |
| May 22, 2024 | 1.75 in | 3 | none recorded | Jonesboro |
| April 26, 2017 | 1.75 in | 2 | none recorded | Bay |
| May 4, 2020 | 1.75 in | 2 | none recorded | Jonesboro |
Where large hail was reported
FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Craighead County the big stones fell.
Reported hail locations, Craighead County
- 371 to 1.74 in
- 81.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
- 52.75 in and up, baseball
Largest plotted stone: 4 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.
50 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.
Sources: NOAA, Census county outlineWind and tornado records for Craighead County
Fastest gusts in Craighead County
| Date | Gust | Near |
|---|---|---|
| April 2, 2025 | 110 mph | Richer |
| April 2, 2025 | 100 mph | Cash |
| April 2, 2025 | 98 mph | Bay |
| March 25, 2017 | 90 mph | Goobertown |
Strongest tornado tracks in Craighead County
| Date | Scale | Length | Injured / killed | Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 2, 2025 | EF3 | 21.98 mi | 8 / 0 | Davis |
| December 10, 2021 | EF3 | 17.68 mi | 5 / 1 | Needham |
| March 28, 2020 | EF3 | 12.53 mi | 22 / 0 | Jonesboro |
| April 2, 2025 | EF2 | 14.45 mi | 0 / 0 | Risher |
19 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 4 are listed.
How old the roofs are
Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Craighead County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 2.58 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.
Bars: share of 47,983 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.
| Median year built | 1991 |
| Built before 1980 | 34.6% |
| Built before 2000 | 65.4% |
| Built since 2010 | 19.7% |
| Owner-occupied | 59.2% |
| Median home value | $198,700 |
| Single-family permits, 2014 to 2025 | 6,663 |
| Permits per 1,000 homes | 138.9 |
Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.
Roofers and past disasters in Craighead County
Roofing firms in Craighead County
| Roofing contractor establishments, 2023 | 6 |
| Change since 2016 | +3 (+100%) |
| Homes per roofing firm | 7,997 |
| Median across counties | 5,189 |
| Employees, 2023 | 131 |
Source for Craighead County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.
FEMA disaster declarations naming Craighead County since 2014
| Declarations naming Craighead County | 7 |
| Storm / flood / winter / fire | 5 / 1 / 1 / 0 |
| Median AR county | 6 |
| Rank among 33 AR counties | 10 |
| Days from the latest to the data cutoff | 234 |
Source for Craighead County: OpenFEMA, data to 2026-09-15. Declaration list for Craighead County.
Nearby counties
The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Craighead County's.
| County | Miles | Overall | Hail loss | Hail, times here | Wind loss | Wind, times here | NOAA hail reports |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faulkner County, AR | 108 | Relatively Moderate | $19 | 1.05 | $14 | 1.23 | 71 |
| Pulaski County, AR | 123 | Relatively High | $33 | 1.84 | $7.31 | 0.63 | 114 |
| Washington County, AR | 199 | Relatively Moderate | $59 | 3.32 | $2.47 | 0.21 | 156 |
| Benton County, AR | 201 | Relatively Moderate | $22 | 1.26 | $12 | 1.01 | 197 |
| Sebastian County, AR | 206 | Relatively Moderate | $13 | 0.75 | $3.60 | 0.31 | 91 |
Cities and ZIP areas in Craighead County
1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 13 such areas have more than half their land here.
| City | ZIP areas (share of land in the county) | Pages |
|---|---|---|
| Jonesboro | 72401 (91%), 72404 (100%), 72405 (100%), 72410 (0%), 72411 (100%) | Roofers |
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How high is storm risk in Craighead County?
FEMA's National Risk Index gives Craighead County an overall score of 91.79 (Relatively Moderate), 259th of 3,144. Hail scores 67.40 (Relatively Low), strong wind 74.97 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 97.74 (Relatively High).
In Craighead County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?
A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 66 for Craighead County between 2014 and June 2026, on 32 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 4 inches.
What do hail and wind cost a home in Craighead County each year, on average?
Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $198,700: FEMA's estimate is about $3.54 a year for hail and $2.32 for wind, before any deductible, against $4.44 and $4.05 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.
How does Craighead County compare with the rest of Arkansas?
Per $1 million of buildings Craighead County loses $18 to hail a year, against $22 in the median county of the state. Among 75 rated counties it is 22nd for hail, 20th for strong wind and 2nd for tornado.
How old are the roofs in Craighead County?
The median home was built in 1991, 35 years ago, and 65.4% of the 47,983 housing units in Craighead County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.
What does expected annual loss mean?
It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.
Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?
No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.
Sources for Craighead County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Craighead County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Craighead County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Craighead County; OpenFEMA, declarations naming Craighead County. Planning-level information about Craighead County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).