Storm risk in Dona Ana County, New Mexico
FEMA's overall hazard score for Dona Ana County is 96.09 (Relatively High), 124th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 96.09 (Relatively High), strong wind 58.02 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 20.52 (Very Low). Expected hail loss is $24 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 52 hail reports in Dona Ana County from 2014 to June 2026.
FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.
- Dona Ana County, coloured by its FEMA rating
- all U.S. counties
- each county in the state
- U.S. median
- state median
Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.
How FEMA rates Dona Ana County
| Hazard | Rating | Score (0 to 100) | Rank in U.S. | Rank in NM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Relatively High | 96.09 | 124 of 3,144 | 1 of 33 |
| Hail | Relatively High | 96.09 | 124 of 3,126 | 1 of 33 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Moderate | 58.02 | 1,321 of 3,126 | 6 of 33 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 20.52 | 2,500 of 3,126 | 11 of 33 |
Expected yearly loss, in dollars
| Hazard | This county, total a year | Per $1M of buildings | State median county | U.S. median county | Rank per $1M, U.S. | Rank per $1M, state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | $2,513,671 | $24 | $10 | $22 | 1,489 of 3,126 | 10 of 33 |
| Strong wind | $235,220 | $2.29 | $4.11 | $20 | 2,880 of 3,121 | 24 of 33 |
| Tornado | $189,265 | $1.84 | $11 | $199 | 3,045 of 3,144 | 31 of 33 |
Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.
What stands out in Dona Ana County
- FEMA expects hail in Dona Ana County to cost $24 per $1 million of buildings a year: 1.09 times the U.S. median and 2.40 times the NM county median, ranked 1,489th of 3,126 counties nationally and 10th of 33 in New Mexico.
- FEMA expects strong wind in Dona Ana County to cost $2.29 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.11 times the U.S. median and 0.56 times the NM county median, ranked 2,880th of 3,121 counties nationally and 24th of 33 in New Mexico.
- FEMA expects tornado in Dona Ana County to cost $1.84 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.009 times the U.S. median and 0.17 times the NM county median, ranked 3,045th of 3,144 counties nationally and 31st of 33 in New Mexico.
- Applying FEMA's estimate to a $205,400 home, the average yearly loss in Dona Ana County is about $5.02 for hail and $0.47 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $4.59 and $4.18.
- If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Dona Ana County meets about 25.0 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
- Built in 1990, the median home in Dona Ana County is 36 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 67.7% of its 91,402 homes are at least 26 years old.
- March to June holds 15 of the 52 hail reports in Dona Ana County (29 percent); the quietest month is February, with 0 reports.
What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year
Enter a home value. The calculator applies Dona Ana County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.
Formula: home value × Dona Ana County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $2,513,671 ÷ $102,834,280,395 = 0.0000244. Wind: $235,220 ÷ $102,834,280,395 = 0.0000023. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.
Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.
Dona Ana County in plain numbers
- Dona Ana County scores 96.09 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively High): 124th of 3,144 rated counties and 1st of 33 in New Mexico.
- Hail scores 96.09 (Relatively High). FEMA expects $2,513,671 of hail damage to buildings in Dona Ana County a year, which is $24 per $1 million of buildings, 1.09 times the U.S. median.
- Strong wind scores 58.02 (Relatively Moderate) with $235,220 of expected yearly building loss in Dona Ana County: $2.29 per $1 million of buildings, 0.11 times the U.S. median.
- Tornado scores 20.52 (Very Low) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $189,265, counting everything exposed, or $1.84 per $1 million of buildings in Dona Ana County.
- FEMA's own event record for Dona Ana County averages 0.41 hail events and 0.36 strong-wind events a year.
- NOAA logged 52 hail reports in Dona Ana County between 2014 and June 2026, on 15 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 2 inches.
- In Dona Ana County, FEMA counts buildings worth 102.83 billion dollars and 218,940 residents.
- Social vulnerability is Relatively High in Dona Ana County.
- Community resilience there is Very Low, for 218,940 residents.
- 1 city in Dona Ana County is covered on this site: Las Cruces. 23 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
- Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Las Cruces is $5,950 to $13,175.
- Dona Ana County ranks 100 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 181 for wind and 192 for tornado.
- In Dona Ana County, October is the busiest month with 21 of the 52 reports (40 percent), against 3 reports in April.
- Dona Ana County's worst year was 2015, with 4 hail days at 1 inch or more and 24 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 1.25 such days a year, one about every 9.6 months.
- The median home in Dona Ana County was built in 1990; 32.3% of its 91,402 housing units date from before 1980, 67.7% from before 2000 and 15.2% from 2010 on.
- Census puts the median home value in Dona Ana County at $205,400, and 65.3% of homes are lived in by their owners.
- 10,370 single-family building permits were issued in Dona Ana County from 2014 to 2025, about 113.5 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2021.
- The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Dona Ana County is 94 mph on June 19, 2024 at Organ.
- The nearest county with a page here is Santa Fe County, 220 miles from the centre of Dona Ana County; its hail score is 67.56.
- Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 20 roofing contractor establishments in Dona Ana County in 2023, one for every 4,570 homes.
The hail record of Dona Ana County, year by year
NOAA logged 52 reports in Dona Ana County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 15 days. That is 1.2 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.
- reports
- days with hail of 1 inch or more
- * 2026 runs to June only
Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: October, 21 reports.
The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
| Year | Reports | Days, 1 inch or more | Days, 1.75 inch or more | Largest stone | Damage reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 in | – |
| 2015 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 in | – |
| 2016 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1.25 in | – |
| 2017 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1.25 in | – |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 in | – |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 in | – |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 in | – |
| 2022 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.75 in | $500,000 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 in | – |
Biggest hail days in Dona Ana County
| Date | Largest stone | Reports that day | Damage reported | Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2015 | 2 in | 10 | none recorded | Mesilla Park |
| October 3, 2015 | 2 in | 9 | none recorded | (Lru)Las Cruces Arpt |
| April 26, 2022 | 1.75 in | 1 | $500,000 | Strauss |
| July 1, 2014 | 1.5 in | 3 | none recorded | Ft Fillmore |
| November 4, 2016 | 1.25 in | 3 | none recorded | Ft Fillmore |
Where large hail was reported
FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Dona Ana County the big stones fell.
Reported hail locations, Dona Ana County
- 331 to 1.74 in
- 61.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
- 02.75 in and up, baseball
Largest plotted stone: 2 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.
39 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.
Sources: NOAA, Census county outlineWind and tornado records for Dona Ana County
Fastest gusts in Dona Ana County
| Date | Gust | Near |
|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2024 | 94 mph | Organ |
| July 11, 2021 | 92 mph | Dona Ana |
| July 11, 2021 | 85 mph | White Sands |
| June 30, 2024 | 85 mph | Anthony |
How old the roofs are
Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Dona Ana County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 1.25 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.
Bars: share of 91,402 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.
| Median year built | 1990 |
| Built before 1980 | 32.3% |
| Built before 2000 | 67.7% |
| Built since 2010 | 15.2% |
| Owner-occupied | 65.3% |
| Median home value | $205,400 |
| Single-family permits, 2014 to 2025 | 10,370 |
| Permits per 1,000 homes | 113.5 |
Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.
Roofers and past disasters in Dona Ana County
Roofing firms in Dona Ana County
| Roofing contractor establishments, 2023 | 20 |
| Change since 2016 | -9 (-31%) |
| Homes per roofing firm | 4,570 |
| Median across counties | 5,189 |
| Employees, 2023 | 73 |
Source for Dona Ana County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.
Nearby counties
The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Dona Ana County's.
| County | Miles | Overall | Hail loss | Hail, times here | Wind loss | Wind, times here | NOAA hail reports |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe County, NM | 220 | Relatively Moderate | $4.50 | 0.18 | $3.14 | 1.37 | 78 |
| Sandoval County, NM | 227 | Relatively Low | $5.30 | 0.22 | $2.54 | 1.11 | 52 |
| Ector County, TX | 253 | Relatively Moderate | $387 | 15.81 | $12 | 5.28 | 167 |
| Midland County, TX | 283 | Relatively Moderate | $211 | 8.63 | $16 | 6.89 | 170 |
| Lubbock County, TX | 301 | Relatively High | $455 | 18.61 | $250 | 109.22 | 124 |
Cities and ZIP areas in Dona Ana County
1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 23 such areas have more than half their land here.
| City | ZIP areas (share of land in the county) | Pages |
|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces | 88001 (100%), 88003 (100%), 88011 (100%), 88012 (100%) | Roofers |
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How high is storm risk in Dona Ana County?
FEMA's National Risk Index gives Dona Ana County an overall score of 96.09 (Relatively High), 124th of 3,144. Hail scores 96.09 (Relatively High), strong wind 58.02 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 20.52 (Very Low).
In Dona Ana County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?
A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 52 for Dona Ana County between 2014 and June 2026, on 15 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 2 inches.
What do hail and wind cost a home in Dona Ana County each year, on average?
Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $205,400: FEMA's estimate is about $5.02 a year for hail and $0.47 for wind, before any deductible, against $4.59 and $4.18 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.
How does Dona Ana County compare with the rest of New Mexico?
Per $1 million of buildings Dona Ana County loses $24 to hail a year, against $10 in the median county of the state. Among 33 rated counties it is 1st for hail, 6th for strong wind and 11th for tornado.
How old are the roofs in Dona Ana County?
The median home was built in 1990, 36 years ago, and 67.7% of the 91,402 housing units in Dona Ana County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.
What does expected annual loss mean?
It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.
Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?
No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.
Sources for Dona Ana County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Dona Ana County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Dona Ana County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Dona Ana County. Planning-level information about Dona Ana County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).