Storm risk in Jasper County, Missouri

FEMA's overall hazard score for Jasper County is 85.59 (Relatively Moderate), 454th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 90.71 (Relatively Moderate), strong wind 88.39 (Relatively High) and tornado 95.64 (Relatively High). Expected hail loss is $67 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 103 hail reports in Jasper County from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.

Jasper County: expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings for hail, strong wind and tornado, on a log scale, against all U.S. counties and the counties of MO$0.1$1$10$100$1,000Hail: $67 per $1 million, 754th of 3,126 rated counties$67Hail754th of 3,126 countiesStrong wind: $24 per $1 million, 1,400th of 3,121 rated counties$24Strong wind1,400th of 3,121 countiesTornado: $482 per $1 million, 451st of 3,144 rated counties$482Tornado451st of 3,144 counties
  • Jasper County, coloured by its FEMA rating
  • all U.S. counties
  • each county in the state
  • U.S. median
  • state median

Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.

How FEMA rates Jasper County

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in MO
OverallRelatively Moderate 85.59454 of 3,14411 of 115
HailRelatively Moderate 90.71293 of 3,1268 of 115
Strong windRelatively High 88.39366 of 3,12614 of 115
TornadoRelatively High 95.64138 of 3,1266 of 115

Expected yearly loss, in dollars

HazardThis county, total a yearPer $1M of buildingsState median countyU.S. median countyRank per $1M, U.S.Rank per $1M, state
Hail$1,856,619$67 $52$22 754 of 3,12633 of 115
Strong wind$657,942$24 $40$20 1,400 of 3,12173 of 115
Tornado$13,321,235$482 $381$199 451 of 3,14431 of 115

Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.

What stands out in Jasper County

  • FEMA expects hail in Jasper County to cost $67 per $1 million of buildings a year: 3.01 times the U.S. median and 1.30 times the MO county median, ranked 754th of 3,126 counties nationally and 33rd of 115 in Missouri.
  • FEMA expects strong wind in Jasper County to cost $24 per $1 million of buildings a year: 1.17 times the U.S. median and 0.59 times the MO county median, ranked 1,400th of 3,121 counties nationally and 73rd of 115 in Missouri.
  • FEMA expects tornado in Jasper County to cost $482 per $1 million of buildings a year: 2.42 times the U.S. median and 1.26 times the MO county median, ranked 451st of 3,144 counties nationally and 31st of 115 in Missouri.
  • Applying FEMA's estimate to a $158,500 home, the average yearly loss in Jasper County is about $11 for hail and $3.77 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $3.54 and $3.23.
  • If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Jasper County meets about 56.7 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
  • Built in 1985, the median home in Jasper County is 41 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 69.3% of its 53,749 homes are at least 26 years old.
  • March to June holds 93 of the 103 hail reports in Jasper County (90 percent); the quietest month is January, with 0 reports.

What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year

Enter a home value. The calculator applies Jasper County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.

$11hail, a year; $3.54 at the U.S. median county rate
$3.77strong wind, a year; $3.23 at the U.S. median county rate
$288hail and wind together over 20 years, at today’s rate

Formula: home value × Jasper County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $1,856,619 ÷ $27,640,036,673 = 0.0000672. Wind: $657,942 ÷ $27,640,036,673 = 0.0000238. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.

Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.

Jasper County in plain numbers

  • Jasper County scores 85.59 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Moderate): 454th of 3,144 rated counties and 11th of 115 in Missouri.
  • Hail scores 90.71 (Relatively Moderate). FEMA expects $1,856,619 of hail damage to buildings in Jasper County a year, which is $67 per $1 million of buildings, 3.01 times the U.S. median.
  • Strong wind scores 88.39 (Relatively High) with $657,942 of expected yearly building loss in Jasper County: $24 per $1 million of buildings, 1.17 times the U.S. median.
  • Tornado scores 95.64 (Relatively High) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $13,321,235, counting everything exposed, or $482 per $1 million of buildings in Jasper County.
  • FEMA's own event record for Jasper County averages 7.47 hail events and 6.01 strong-wind events a year.
  • NOAA logged 103 hail reports in Jasper County between 2014 and June 2026, on 38 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 3 inches.
  • In Jasper County, FEMA counts buildings worth 27.64 billion dollars and 122,722 residents.
  • Social vulnerability is Relatively Low in Jasper County.
  • Community resilience there is Relatively Moderate, for 122,722 residents.
  • 1 city in Jasper County is covered on this site: Joplin. 15 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Joplin is $6,160 to $13,640.
  • Jasper County ranks 50 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 47 for wind and 28 for tornado.
  • In Jasper County, March is the busiest month with 40 of the 103 reports (39 percent), against 2 reports in September.
  • Jasper County's worst year was 2017, with 4 hail days at 1 inch or more and 34 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 2.83 such days a year, one about every 4.2 months.
  • The median home in Jasper County was built in 1985; 45.3% of its 53,749 housing units date from before 1980, 69.3% from before 2000 and 15.2% from 2010 on.
  • Census puts the median home value in Jasper County at $158,500, and 63.2% of homes are lived in by their owners.
  • 5,437 single-family building permits were issued in Jasper County from 2014 to 2025, about 101.2 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2021.
  • NOAA lists 12 tornado tracks in Jasper County since 2014; the strongest was an EF3 on May 22, 2019 near Belle Center, 8.77 miles long.
  • The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Jasper County is 100 mph on April 1, 2024 at Morgan Hgts.
  • The nearest county with a page here is Greene County, 55 miles from the centre of Jasper County; its hail score is 93.16.
  • Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 10 roofing contractor establishments in Jasper County in 2023, one for every 5,375 homes.
  • FEMA has named Jasper County in 5 disaster declarations since 2014, the latest 43 days before its data end, and 2 of them were storm-type.

The hail record of Jasper County, year by year

NOAA logged 103 reports in Jasper County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 38 days. That is 2.8 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.

Jasper County: NOAA hail reports per year, 2014 to June 2026, with the number of days that had hail of 1 inch or more051015202530352014: 6 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.5 inch142015: 9 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.5 inch152016: 4 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch162017: 34 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 3 inch172018: 7 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch182019: 6 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch192020: 7 reports, 3 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.75 inch202021: 2 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0.75 inch212022: 6 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch222023: 2 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch232024: 5 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2.5 inch242025: 11 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch252026: 4 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch26*
  • reports
  • days with hail of 1 inch or more
  • * 2026 runs to June only
Jasper County: NOAA hail reports by calendar month, 2014 to June 2026January: 0 reports0JanFebruary: 0 reports0FebMarch: 40 reports40MarApril: 29 reports29AprMay: 22 reports22MayJune: 2 reports2JunJuly: 0 reports0JulAugust: 3 reports3AugSeptember: 2 reports2SepOctober: 3 reports3OctNovember: 1 reports1NovDecember: 1 reports1Dec

Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: March, 40 reports.

The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
YearReportsDays, 1 inch or moreDays, 1.75 inch or moreLargest stoneDamage reported
20146401.5 in–
20159401.5 in–
20164201 in–
201734433 in$550,000
20187201 in–
20196421.75 in$40,000
20207322.75 in$2,250,000
20212000.75 in–
20226101.25 in–
20232201 in–
20245422.5 in$120,000
202511411.75 in$40,000
2026 (to June)4401 in–

Biggest hail days in Jasper County

DateLargest stoneReports that dayDamage reportedNear
March 9, 20173 in20$350,000Jasper
May 3, 20202.75 in1$2,000,000Waco
May 27, 20172.5 in9$200,000Carthage
April 1, 20242.5 in1$120,000Maple Grove
April 29, 20251.75 in8$40,000Carterville

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Jasper County the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Jasper County

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  • 571 to 1.74 in
  • 171.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 52.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 3 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

79 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Wind and tornado records for Jasper County

Fastest gusts in Jasper County

DateGustNear
April 1, 2024100 mphMorgan Hgts
June 13, 202696 mphJoplin
April 26, 201690 mphCarthage
May 6, 202481 mphAvilla

Strongest tornado tracks in Jasper County

DateScaleLengthInjured / killedNear
May 22, 2019EF38.77 mi0 / 0Belle Center
May 22, 2019EF34.03 mi0 / 0Jasper
June 13, 2026EF11.23 mi0 / 0Fidelity
April 23, 2026EF11.1 mi0 / 0Chitwood

12 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 4 are listed.

How old the roofs are

Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Jasper County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 2.83 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.

Jasper County: share of homes by decade built, with the hail days at 1 inch or more that an original roof from each decade has met at the county's 2014 to 2025 ratepre-1940: 13.0% of homes13%<19402581940s: 4.0% of homes4%1940s2301950s: 8.2% of homes8.2%1950s2011960s: 8.9% of homes8.9%1960s1731970s: 11.2% of homes11.2%1970s1441980s: 9.0% of homes9%1980s1161990s: 15.0% of homes15%1990s882000s: 15.5% of homes15.5%2000s602010s: 13.9% of homes13.9%2010s312020+: 1.3% of homes1.3%2020+8

Bars: share of 53,749 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.

Median year built1985
Built before 198045.3%
Built before 200069.3%
Built since 201015.2%
Owner-occupied63.2%
Median home value$158,500
Single-family permits, 2014 to 20255,437
Permits per 1,000 homes101.2

Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.

Roofers and past disasters in Jasper County

Roofing firms in Jasper County

Roofing contractor establishments, 202310
Change since 2016+4 (+67%)
Homes per roofing firm5,375
Median across counties5,189
Employees, 202342

Source for Jasper County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Jasper County since 2014

Declarations naming Jasper County5
Storm / flood / winter / fire2 / 3 / 0 / 0
Median MO county5
Rank among 70 MO counties35
Days from the latest to the data cutoff43

Source for Jasper County: OpenFEMA, data to 2026-09-15.

Nearby counties

The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Jasper County's.

CountyMilesOverallHail lossHail, times hereWind lossWind, times hereNOAA hail reports
Greene County, MO55 Relatively Moderate $400.59$200.84194
Cole County, MO146 Relatively Low $160.24$230.9724
Boone County, MO162 Relatively Moderate $140.20$8.540.3633
Buchanan County, MO173 Relatively Low $821.21$210.8826
Cape Girardeau County, MO258 Relatively Moderate $380.57$381.6031

All 194 counties, with a filter by state and sorting

Cities and ZIP areas in Jasper County

1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 15 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Joplin 64801 (100%) Roofers

Storm hit your roof in Jasper County? A free inspection tells you if there is damage. One local roofer answers, not five.

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Jasper County?

FEMA's National Risk Index gives Jasper County an overall score of 85.59 (Relatively Moderate), 454th of 3,144. Hail scores 90.71 (Relatively Moderate), strong wind 88.39 (Relatively High) and tornado 95.64 (Relatively High).

In Jasper County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?

A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 103 for Jasper County between 2014 and June 2026, on 38 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 3 inches.

What do hail and wind cost a home in Jasper County each year, on average?

Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $158,500: FEMA's estimate is about $11 a year for hail and $3.77 for wind, before any deductible, against $3.54 and $3.23 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.

How does Jasper County compare with the rest of Missouri?

Per $1 million of buildings Jasper County loses $67 to hail a year, against $52 in the median county of the state. Among 115 rated counties it is 8th for hail, 14th for strong wind and 6th for tornado.

How old are the roofs in Jasper County?

The median home was built in 1985, 41 years ago, and 69.3% of the 53,749 housing units in Jasper County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

Sources for Jasper County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Jasper County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Jasper County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Jasper County; OpenFEMA, declarations naming Jasper County. Planning-level information about Jasper County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).