Storm risk in Mahoning County, Ohio

FEMA's overall hazard score for Mahoning County is 83.62 (Relatively Moderate), 516th of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 94.75 (Relatively High), strong wind 93.10 (Relatively High) and tornado 91.16 (Relatively High). Expected hail loss is $41 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 31 hail reports in Mahoning County from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.

Mahoning County: expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings for hail, strong wind and tornado, on a log scale, against all U.S. counties and the counties of OH$0.1$1$10$100$1,000Hail: $41 per $1 million, 1,104th of 3,126 rated counties$41Hail1,104th of 3,126 countiesStrong wind: $14 per $1 million, 1,957th of 3,121 rated counties$14Strong wind1,957th of 3,121 countiesTornado: $120 per $1 million, 1,989th of 3,144 rated counties$120Tornado1,989th of 3,144 counties
  • Mahoning County, coloured by its FEMA rating
  • all U.S. counties
  • each county in the state
  • U.S. median
  • state median

Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.

How FEMA rates Mahoning County

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in OH
OverallRelatively Moderate 83.62516 of 3,14411 of 88
HailRelatively High 94.75166 of 3,1267 of 88
Strong windRelatively High 93.10218 of 3,1269 of 88
TornadoRelatively High 91.16279 of 3,1267 of 88

Expected yearly loss, in dollars

HazardThis county, total a yearPer $1M of buildingsState median countyU.S. median countyRank per $1M, U.S.Rank per $1M, state
Hail$2,240,345$41 $35$22 1,104 of 3,12635 of 88
Strong wind$733,732$14 $23$20 1,957 of 3,12175 of 88
Tornado$6,501,567$120 $120$199 1,989 of 3,14445 of 88

Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.

What stands out in Mahoning County

  • FEMA expects hail in Mahoning County to cost $41 per $1 million of buildings a year: 1.85 times the U.S. median and 1.18 times the OH county median, ranked 1,104th of 3,126 counties nationally and 35th of 88 in Ohio.
  • FEMA expects strong wind in Mahoning County to cost $14 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.66 times the U.S. median and 0.59 times the OH county median, ranked 1,957th of 3,121 counties nationally and 75th of 88 in Ohio.
  • FEMA expects tornado in Mahoning County to cost $120 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.60 times the U.S. median and 1.00 times the OH county median, ranked 1,989th of 3,144 counties nationally and 45th of 88 in Ohio.
  • Applying FEMA's estimate to a $141,100 home, the average yearly loss in Mahoning County is about $5.83 for hail and $1.91 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $3.15 and $2.87.
  • If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Mahoning County meets about 15.0 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
  • Built in 1963, the median home in Mahoning County is 63 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 91.4% of its 108,077 homes are at least 26 years old.
  • March to June holds 25 of the 31 hail reports in Mahoning County (81 percent); the quietest month is January, with 0 reports.

What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year

Enter a home value. The calculator applies Mahoning County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.

$5.83hail, a year; $3.15 at the U.S. median county rate
$1.91strong wind, a year; $2.87 at the U.S. median county rate
$155hail and wind together over 20 years, at today’s rate

Formula: home value × Mahoning County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $2,240,345 ÷ $54,244,896,052 = 0.0000413. Wind: $733,732 ÷ $54,244,896,052 = 0.0000135. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.

Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.

Mahoning County in plain numbers

  • Mahoning County scores 83.62 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Moderate): 516th of 3,144 rated counties and 11th of 88 in Ohio.
  • Hail scores 94.75 (Relatively High). FEMA expects $2,240,345 of hail damage to buildings in Mahoning County a year, which is $41 per $1 million of buildings, 1.85 times the U.S. median.
  • Strong wind scores 93.10 (Relatively High) with $733,732 of expected yearly building loss in Mahoning County: $14 per $1 million of buildings, 0.66 times the U.S. median.
  • Tornado scores 91.16 (Relatively High) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $6,501,567, counting everything exposed, or $120 per $1 million of buildings in Mahoning County.
  • FEMA's own event record for Mahoning County averages 4.40 hail events and 2.54 strong-wind events a year.
  • NOAA logged 31 hail reports in Mahoning County between 2014 and June 2026, on 10 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 1.75 inches.
  • In Mahoning County, FEMA counts buildings worth 54.24 billion dollars and 228,579 residents.
  • Social vulnerability is Relatively High in Mahoning County.
  • Community resilience there is Very High, for 228,579 residents.
  • 1 city in Mahoning County is covered on this site: Youngstown. 28 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Youngstown is $6,370 to $14,105.
  • Mahoning County ranks 79 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 86 for wind and 142 for tornado.
  • In Mahoning County, May is the busiest month with 10 of the 31 reports (32 percent), against 0 reports in November.
  • Mahoning County's worst year was 2024, with 2 hail days at 1 inch or more and 5 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 0.75 such days a year, one about every 16.0 months.
  • The median home in Mahoning County was built in 1963; 75.9% of its 108,077 housing units date from before 1980, 91.4% from before 2000 and 2.6% from 2010 on.
  • Census puts the median home value in Mahoning County at $141,100, and 70.3% of homes are lived in by their owners.
  • 1,752 single-family building permits were issued in Mahoning County from 2014 to 2025, about 16.2 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2021.
  • NOAA lists 2 tornado tracks in Mahoning County since 2014; the strongest was an EF1 on July 8, 2014 near Ellsworth, 5.39 miles long.
  • The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Mahoning County is 96 mph on November 5, 2017 at Southern Airways Arp.
  • The nearest county with a page here is Stark County, 33 miles from the centre of Mahoning County; its hail score is 97.84.
  • Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 17 roofing contractor establishments in Mahoning County in 2023, one for every 6,357 homes.

The hail record of Mahoning County, year by year

NOAA logged 31 reports in Mahoning County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 10 days. That is 0.8 such days a year; the median county in NOAA’s file has 1.8.

Mahoning County: NOAA hail reports per year, 2014 to June 2026, with the number of days that had hail of 1 inch or more0123452014: 4 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch142015: 5 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch152016: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch162017: 2 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch172018: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch182019: 4 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch192020: 2 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0.75 inch202021: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch212022: 2 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0.75 inch222023: 2 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch232024: 5 reports, 2 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.5 inch242025: 1 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch252026: 4 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch26*
  • reports
  • days with hail of 1 inch or more
  • * 2026 runs to June only
Mahoning County: NOAA hail reports by calendar month, 2014 to June 2026January: 0 reports0JanFebruary: 0 reports0FebMarch: 6 reports6MarApril: 4 reports4AprMay: 10 reports10MayJune: 5 reports5JunJuly: 0 reports0JulAugust: 3 reports3AugSeptember: 1 reports1SepOctober: 1 reports1OctNovember: 0 reports0NovDecember: 1 reports1Dec

Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: May, 10 reports.

The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
YearReportsDays, 1 inch or moreDays, 1.75 inch or moreLargest stoneDamage reported
20144101 in–
20155101 in–
20172201 in–
20194101.25 in–
20202000.75 in–
20222000.75 in–
20232111.75 in–
20245201.5 in–
20251101.25 in–
2026 (to June)4101 in–

Biggest hail days in Mahoning County

DateLargest stoneReports that dayDamage reportedNear
August 12, 20231.75 in2none recordedLake Milton
April 14, 20241.5 in3none recordedPoland
May 28, 20191.25 in3none recordedRosemont
May 5, 20251.25 in1none recordedCanfield
May 14, 20141 in4none recordedYoungstown

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Mahoning County the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Mahoning County

1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1.25 in hail1.25 in hail1.25 in hail1.5 in hail1.75 in hail Youngstown
  • 161 to 1.74 in
  • 11.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 02.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 1.75 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

17 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Wind and tornado records for Mahoning County

Fastest gusts in Mahoning County

DateGustNear
November 5, 201796 mphSouthern Airways Arp
May 1, 201781 mphBoardman
May 1, 201770 mphCanfield
April 30, 201770 mphBoardman

Strongest tornado tracks in Mahoning County

DateScaleLengthInjured / killedNear
July 8, 2014EF15.39 mi0 / 0Ellsworth
September 4, 2022EF00.07 mi0 / 0Southern Airways Arp

2 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 2 are listed.

How old the roofs are

Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Mahoning County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 0.75 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.

Mahoning County: share of homes by decade built, with the hail days at 1 inch or more that an original roof from each decade has met at the county's 2014 to 2025 ratepre-1940: 19.5% of homes19.5%<1940681940s: 7.4% of homes7.4%1940s611950s: 19.5% of homes19.5%1950s531960s: 13.9% of homes13.9%1960s461970s: 15.7% of homes15.7%1970s381980s: 6.0% of homes6%1980s311990s: 9.5% of homes9.5%1990s232000s: 6.0% of homes6%2000s162010s: 2.3% of homes2.3%2010s82020+: 0.3% of homes0.3%2020+2

Bars: share of 108,077 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.

Median year built1963
Built before 198075.9%
Built before 200091.4%
Built since 20102.6%
Owner-occupied70.3%
Median home value$141,100
Single-family permits, 2014 to 20251,752
Permits per 1,000 homes16.2

Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.

Roofers and past disasters in Mahoning County

Roofing firms in Mahoning County

Roofing contractor establishments, 202317
Change since 2016+1 (+6%)
Homes per roofing firm6,357
Median across counties5,189
Employees, 2023177

Source for Mahoning County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.

Nearby counties

The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Mahoning County's.

CountyMilesOverallHail lossHail, times hereWind lossWind, times hereNOAA hail reports
Stark County, OH33 Relatively Moderate $711.73$8.820.6535
Summit County, OH39 Relatively Moderate $1082.61$191.4254
Lorain County, OH71 Relatively Moderate $280.69$181.3329
Richland County, OH92 Relatively Low $581.40$261.8941
Licking County, OH109 Relatively Low $1052.53$191.4245
Lucas County, OH146 Relatively Moderate $330.81$9.680.7238

More Ohio counties, nearest first

All 194 counties, with a filter by state and sorting

Cities and ZIP areas in Mahoning County

1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 28 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Youngstown 44512 (100%), 44503 (100%), 44515 (100%) Roofers

Storm hit your roof in Mahoning County? A free inspection tells you if there is damage. One local roofer answers, not five.

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Mahoning County?

FEMA's National Risk Index gives Mahoning County an overall score of 83.62 (Relatively Moderate), 516th of 3,144. Hail scores 94.75 (Relatively High), strong wind 93.10 (Relatively High) and tornado 91.16 (Relatively High).

In Mahoning County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?

A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 31 for Mahoning County between 2014 and June 2026, on 10 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 1.75 inches.

What do hail and wind cost a home in Mahoning County each year, on average?

Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $141,100: FEMA's estimate is about $5.83 a year for hail and $1.91 for wind, before any deductible, against $3.15 and $2.87 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.

How does Mahoning County compare with the rest of Ohio?

Per $1 million of buildings Mahoning County loses $41 to hail a year, against $35 in the median county of the state. Among 88 rated counties it is 7th for hail, 9th for strong wind and 7th for tornado.

How old are the roofs in Mahoning County?

The median home was built in 1963, 63 years ago, and 91.4% of the 108,077 housing units in Mahoning County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

Sources for Mahoning County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Mahoning County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Mahoning County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Mahoning County. Planning-level information about Mahoning County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).