Storm risk in Alamance County, North Carolina

FEMA's overall hazard score for Alamance County is 77.07 (Relatively Low), 722nd of 3,144 counties. Hail scores 77.64 (Relatively Moderate), strong wind 56.08 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 82.28 (Relatively Moderate). Expected hail loss is $18 per $1 million of buildings a year; NOAA logged 19 hail reports in Alamance County from 2014 to June 2026.

FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026. NOAA hail reports 2014 to June 2026.

Alamance County: expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings for hail, strong wind and tornado, on a log scale, against all U.S. counties and the counties of NC$0.1$1$10$100$1,000Hail: $18 per $1 million, 1,729th of 3,126 rated counties$18Hail1,729th of 3,126 countiesStrong wind: $6.65 per $1 million, 2,475th of 3,121 rated counties$6.65Strong wind2,475th of 3,121 countiesTornado: $153 per $1 million, 1,810th of 3,144 rated counties$153Tornado1,810th of 3,144 counties
  • Alamance County, coloured by its FEMA rating
  • all U.S. counties
  • each county in the state
  • U.S. median
  • state median

Expected yearly loss per $1 million of buildings, log scale. Dot colour is FEMA’s rating band. The tornado lane counts everything exposed, not only buildings.

How FEMA rates Alamance County

HazardRatingScore (0 to 100)Rank in U.S.Rank in NC
OverallRelatively Low 77.07722 of 3,14439 of 100
HailRelatively Moderate 77.64704 of 3,12614 of 100
Strong windRelatively Moderate 56.081,382 of 3,12649 of 100
TornadoRelatively Moderate 82.28558 of 3,12629 of 100

Expected yearly loss, in dollars

HazardThis county, total a yearPer $1M of buildingsState median countyU.S. median countyRank per $1M, U.S.Rank per $1M, state
Hail$574,293$18 $9.65$22 1,729 of 3,12616 of 100
Strong wind$213,988$6.65 $8.61$20 2,475 of 3,12164 of 100
Tornado$4,933,978$153 $156$199 1,810 of 3,14453 of 100

Rank 1 is the highest. Overall, hail and wind losses count buildings; the tornado row counts everything FEMA exposes, so it overstates building damage. Expected annual loss is an average over many years for the whole county, not a forecast for one roof.

What stands out in Alamance County

  • FEMA expects hail in Alamance County to cost $18 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.80 times the U.S. median and 1.85 times the NC county median, ranked 1,729th of 3,126 counties nationally and 16th of 100 in North Carolina.
  • FEMA expects strong wind in Alamance County to cost $6.65 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.33 times the U.S. median and 0.77 times the NC county median, ranked 2,475th of 3,121 counties nationally and 64th of 100 in North Carolina.
  • FEMA expects tornado in Alamance County to cost $153 per $1 million of buildings a year: 0.77 times the U.S. median and 0.98 times the NC county median, ranked 1,810th of 3,144 counties nationally and 53rd of 100 in North Carolina.
  • NOAA has only 19 hail reports for Alamance County in 12 years, too few for a trend; FEMA's 172 counted hail events cover a longer record.
  • Applying FEMA's estimate to a $221,200 home, the average yearly loss in Alamance County is about $3.95 for hail and $1.47 for wind before any deductible; at the U.S. median county rates it would be $4.94 and $4.51.
  • If the next years look like 2014 to 2025, a roof kept 20 years in Alamance County meets about 16.7 hail days of 1 inch or more; the median county in NOAA's file (1,275 counties) would give 35.0.
  • Built in 1987, the median home in Alamance County is 39 years old, so an original roof has outlived a 3-tab shingle (15 to 20 years) and an architectural one (25 to 30 years); 69.0% of its 75,456 homes are at least 26 years old.
  • March to June holds 16 of the 19 hail reports in Alamance County (84 percent); the quietest month is January, with 0 reports.

What hail and wind cost a home here in an average year

Enter a home value. The calculator applies Alamance County’s own loss rate: the county’s expected yearly loss divided by the value of its buildings. It starts at the Census median home value for the county.

$3.95hail, a year; $4.94 at the U.S. median county rate
$1.47strong wind, a year; $4.51 at the U.S. median county rate
$108hail and wind together over 20 years, at today’s rate

Formula: home value × Alamance County yearly loss ÷ building value. Hail: $574,293 ÷ $32,156,508,202 = 0.0000179. Wind: $213,988 ÷ $32,156,508,202 = 0.0000067. This is FEMA’s estimate of average damage to buildings and does not account for your deductible. Tornado is left out because FEMA’s tornado loss counts people and other exposure, not only buildings.

Read this as a yardstick. The rate is an average over every building in the county, from sheds to office towers, and over many years. Real losses come in rare, large storms; a roof with no damage in 19 years can need full replacement in the 20th. The figure is not a quote and not a prediction for one address.

Alamance County in plain numbers

  • Alamance County scores 77.07 in FEMA's overall hazard index (Relatively Low): 722nd of 3,144 rated counties and 39th of 100 in North Carolina.
  • Hail scores 77.64 (Relatively Moderate). FEMA expects $574,293 of hail damage to buildings in Alamance County a year, which is $18 per $1 million of buildings, 0.80 times the U.S. median.
  • Strong wind scores 56.08 (Relatively Moderate) with $213,988 of expected yearly building loss in Alamance County: $6.65 per $1 million of buildings, 0.33 times the U.S. median.
  • Tornado scores 82.28 (Relatively Moderate) and FEMA's expected yearly tornado loss is $4,933,978, counting everything exposed, or $153 per $1 million of buildings in Alamance County.
  • FEMA's own event record for Alamance County averages 4.52 hail events and 1.71 strong-wind events a year.
  • NOAA logged 19 hail reports in Alamance County between 2014 and June 2026, on 11 days with stones of 1 inch or more; the largest was 2 inches.
  • In Alamance County, FEMA counts buildings worth 32.16 billion dollars and 171,316 residents.
  • Social vulnerability is Relatively Low in Alamance County.
  • Community resilience there is Relatively Moderate, for 171,316 residents.
  • 1 city in Alamance County is covered on this site: Burlington. 8 Census ZIP areas have more than half of their land in the county.
  • Our guide range for a 2,000 sq ft asphalt roof in Burlington is $6,370 to $14,105.
  • Alamance County ranks 112 of the 194 counties with a page here for hail loss per $1 million of buildings, 137 for wind and 129 for tornado.
  • In Alamance County, May is the busiest month with 7 of the 19 reports (37 percent), against 0 reports in November.
  • Alamance County's worst year was 2016, with 4 hail days at 1 inch or more and 5 reports. At the 2014 to 2025 pace that is 0.83 such days a year, one about every 14.4 months.
  • The median home in Alamance County was built in 1987; 41.8% of its 75,456 housing units date from before 1980, 69.0% from before 2000 and 14.0% from 2010 on.
  • Census puts the median home value in Alamance County at $221,200, and 65.6% of homes are lived in by their owners.
  • 15,170 single-family building permits were issued in Alamance County from 2014 to 2025, about 201.0 per 1,000 homes, peaking in 2024.
  • NOAA lists 5 tornado tracks in Alamance County since 2014; the strongest was an EF1 on April 13, 2020 near Sutphin, 4.53 miles long.
  • The fastest gust in NOAA's records for Alamance County is 60 mph on March 5, 2025 at Burlington Arpt.
  • The nearest county with a page here is Guilford County, 22 miles from the centre of Alamance County; its hail score is 92.18.
  • Across counties the median is one roofing firm for every 5,189 homes; Census counted 14 roofing contractor establishments in Alamance County in 2023, one for every 5,390 homes.

The hail record of Alamance County, year by year

NOAA logged 19 reports in Alamance County; hail of 1 inch or more fell on 11 days. With so few reports the yearly bars below are small numbers, and a single storm moves them.

Alamance County: NOAA hail reports per year, 2014 to June 2026, with the number of days that had hail of 1 inch or more0123452014: 4 reports, 3 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.75 inch142015: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch152016: 5 reports, 4 days at 1 inch or more, largest 2 inch162017: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch172018: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch182019: 4 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch192020: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch202021: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch212022: 2 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch222023: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch232024: 1 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1 inch242025: 0 reports, 0 days at 1 inch or more, largest 0 inch252026: 3 reports, 1 days at 1 inch or more, largest 1.25 inch26*
  • reports
  • days with hail of 1 inch or more
  • * 2026 runs to June only
Alamance County: NOAA hail reports by calendar month, 2014 to June 2026January: 0 reports0JanFebruary: 0 reports0FebMarch: 0 reports0MarApril: 6 reports6AprMay: 7 reports7MayJune: 3 reports3JunJuly: 0 reports0JulAugust: 1 reports1AugSeptember: 2 reports2SepOctober: 0 reports0OctNovember: 0 reports0NovDecember: 0 reports0Dec

Reports by calendar month, all years together. Peak: May, 7 reports.

The same numbers as a table (years with at least one report)
YearReportsDays, 1 inch or moreDays, 1.75 inch or moreLargest stoneDamage reported
20144311.75 in–
20165412 in–
20194101.25 in–
20222101.25 in–
20241101 in–
2026 (to June)3101.25 in–

Biggest hail days in Alamance County

DateLargest stoneReports that dayDamage reportedNear
April 28, 20162 in1none recordedAlamance
April 25, 20141.75 in2none recordedHaw River
June 23, 20161.5 in1none recordedSaxapahaw
May 31, 20191.25 in4none recordedSnow Camp
April 29, 20261.25 in3none recordedMebane Hurdle Fld Ar

Where large hail was reported

FEMA scores the county as a whole. NOAA’s reports show where inside Alamance County the big stones fell.

Reported hail locations, Alamance County

1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1 in hail1.25 in hail1.25 in hail1.25 in hail1.5 in hail1.75 in hail2 in hail Burlington
  • 161 to 1.74 in
  • 21.75 to 2.74 in, golf ball to tennis ball
  • 02.75 in and up, baseball

Largest plotted stone: 2 in. Bigger dots are bigger stones.

18 reports of 1 inch or larger have coordinates. Each dot is a reported location, not a storm path.

Sources: NOAA, Census county outline

Wind and tornado records for Alamance County

Fastest gusts in Alamance County

DateGustNear
March 5, 202560 mphBurlington Arpt
February 21, 201458 mphSwepsonville
May 27, 201458 mphElon College
May 27, 201458 mphBurlington

Strongest tornado tracks in Alamance County

DateScaleLengthInjured / killedNear
July 6, 2025EF10.6 mi0 / 0Alamance
May 10, 2021EF11.23 mi0 / 0Sutphin
March 18, 2021EF11.84 mi0 / 0Elon College
April 13, 2020EF14.53 mi0 / 0Sutphin

5 tornado tracks in all since 2014; the strongest 4 are listed.

How old the roofs are

Census counts homes by the decade they were built. Under each bar is the number of hail days of 1 inch or more that an original roof from that decade has met, at Alamance County’s 2014 to 2025 pace of 0.83 such days a year. Most roofs have been replaced since; the row shows what a roof that never was would have taken.

Alamance County: share of homes by decade built, with the hail days at 1 inch or more that an original roof from each decade has met at the county's 2014 to 2025 ratepre-1940: 6.7% of homes6.7%<1940761940s: 4.5% of homes4.5%1940s681950s: 9.8% of homes9.8%1950s591960s: 9.1% of homes9.1%1960s511970s: 11.6% of homes11.6%1970s421980s: 11.6% of homes11.6%1980s341990s: 15.6% of homes15.6%1990s262000s: 16.9% of homes16.9%2000s182010s: 12.6% of homes12.6%2010s92020+: 1.5% of homes1.5%2020+2

Bars: share of 75,456 housing units by decade built. Figures under the decade: hail days met by an original roof, at the county’s 2014 to 2025 pace. The pace of earlier years is unknown.

Median year built1987
Built before 198041.8%
Built before 200069.0%
Built since 201014.0%
Owner-occupied65.6%
Median home value$221,200
Single-family permits, 2014 to 202515,170
Permits per 1,000 homes201.0

Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) and 25 to 30 years (architectural). Source: Census ACS 2019 to 2023 and Building Permits Survey.

Roofers and past disasters in Alamance County

Roofing firms in Alamance County

Roofing contractor establishments, 202314
Change since 2016+2 (+17%)
Homes per roofing firm5,390
Median across counties5,189
Employees, 202344

Source for Alamance County: Census County Business Patterns, NAICS 238160.

Nearby counties

The closest counties that have a risk page, by distance between county centres. Loss is per $1 million of buildings; the columns marked "times here" divide the neighbour's loss by Alamance County's.

CountyMilesOverallHail lossHail, times hereWind lossWind, times hereNOAA hail reports
Guilford County, NC22 Relatively Moderate $100.57$3.230.4948
Wake County, NC46 Relatively High $522.92$1.200.18131
Forsyth County, NC49 Relatively Moderate $7.950.45$2.470.3723
Cumberland County, NC76 Relatively Moderate $140.81$111.6025
Cabarrus County, NC81 Relatively Moderate $6.710.38$2.890.4332
Edgecombe County, NC101 Relatively Low $140.76$121.8514

More North Carolina counties, nearest first

All 194 counties, with a filter by state and sorting

Cities and ZIP areas in Alamance County

1 city in this county is on PickARoofer. ZIP Code Tabulation Areas are Census shapes that approximate ZIP codes; where we have a city’s ZIPs, the share is the part of each area’s land that lies in this county. 8 such areas have more than half their land here.

CityZIP areas (share of land in the county)Pages
Burlington 27215 (88%), 27213 (0%), 27214 (0%), 27217 (82%) Roofers

Storm hit your roof in Alamance County? A free inspection tells you if there is damage. One local roofer answers, not five.

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Questions

How high is storm risk in Alamance County?

FEMA's National Risk Index gives Alamance County an overall score of 77.07 (Relatively Low), 722nd of 3,144. Hail scores 77.64 (Relatively Moderate), strong wind 56.08 (Relatively Moderate) and tornado 82.28 (Relatively Moderate).

In Alamance County, how many hail reports has NOAA logged?

A report is one entry for one storm in one county, so counts follow where people live as well as where hail fell. NOAA has 19 for Alamance County between 2014 and June 2026, on 11 days with hail of 1 inch or more; the largest stone was 2 inches.

What do hail and wind cost a home in Alamance County each year, on average?

Applying FEMA's county rates to its median home value of $221,200: FEMA's estimate is about $3.95 a year for hail and $1.47 for wind, before any deductible, against $4.94 and $4.51 at the U.S. median county rates. This is an average over many years and all buildings, not a prediction for one roof; one bad storm costs far more than the average year.

How does Alamance County compare with the rest of North Carolina?

Per $1 million of buildings Alamance County loses $18 to hail a year, against $9.65 in the median county of the state. Among 100 rated counties it is 14th for hail, 49th for strong wind and 29th for tornado.

How old are the roofs in Alamance County?

The median home was built in 1987, 39 years ago, and 69.0% of the 75,456 housing units in Alamance County date from before 2000. Asphalt shingles are rated 15 to 20 years (3-tab) or 25 to 30 years (architectural), so an original roof of either kind is past its rated life. The Census does not record when a roof was replaced.

What does expected annual loss mean?

It is FEMA's estimate of the average yearly loss from a hazard, in dollars, summed over the county. It is built for comparing counties at planning level, not for pricing one house.

Does a high rating mean my roof will be damaged?

No. The index compares counties and cannot say what will happen on your street. After a storm, a roof inspection is the only way to know.

Sources for Alamance County: FEMA National Risk Index, version December 2025, retrieved October 8, 2026; NOAA Storm Events Database hail reports for Alamance County; Census Bureau ZCTA-to-county relationship file (2020); Census ACS and Building Permits Survey, homes in Alamance County; Census County Business Patterns, roofing firms in Alamance County. Planning-level information about Alamance County, not an inspection and not insurance advice.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).